Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.056943 0.066711 0.077607 0.090657 0.105860 0.123009 0.143821
2025-08-31 0.041117 0.053619 0.069074 0.089562 0.115999 0.148956 0.193169
2025-09-07 0.033071 0.046810 0.065176 0.091481 0.128161 0.177475 0.248831
2025-09-14 0.026879 0.040711 0.060436 0.090543 0.135286 0.199284 0.297793
2025-09-21 0.022079 0.035468 0.055663 0.088236 0.139384 0.216558 0.341853
2025-09-28 0.018352 0.031080 0.051266 0.085474 0.141898 0.231186 0.383192
2025-10-05 0.016382 0.029102 0.050214 0.087622 0.152122 0.258659 0.447937
2025-10-12 0.014520 0.026968 0.048518 0.088314 0.159813 0.282684 0.509762
2025-10-19 0.012915 0.025009 0.046790 0.088604 0.166668 0.305878 0.572789
2025-10-26 0.011711 0.023586 0.045781 0.089969 0.175495 0.333391 0.646731
2025-11-02 0.010848 0.022674 0.045567 0.092738 0.187188 0.367343 0.736617
2025-11-09 0.009447 0.020474 0.042565 0.089633 0.187048 0.378846 0.784552
2025-11-16 0.008489 0.019071 0.041001 0.089300 0.192581 0.402392 0.860183
2025-11-23 0.007567 0.017609 0.039120 0.088055 0.196084 0.422341 0.931159
2025-11-30 0.007021 0.016892 0.038716 0.089910 0.206393 0.457507 1.038599
2025-12-07 0.006326 0.015727 0.037163 0.088982 0.210424 0.479720 1.120522
2025-12-14 0.005624 0.014439 0.035152 0.086712 0.211079 0.494542 1.187620
2025-12-21 0.004983 0.013199 0.033078 0.083997 0.210308 0.505992 1.248267
2025-12-28 0.004696 0.012811 0.032995 0.086108 0.221378 0.546077 1.381631
2026-01-04 0.004358 0.012237 0.032377 0.086789 0.228998 0.578848 1.501226
2026-01-11 0.004033 0.011650 0.031644 0.087074 0.235643 0.610008 1.620629
2026-01-18 0.003787 0.011244 0.031328 0.088416 0.245207 0.649540 1.766252
2026-01-25 0.003619 0.011036 0.031513 0.091137 0.258793 0.700900 1.949073